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Weather
forecasting has a lot to
do with probabilities.
We all know that and, of
course, it means weather
forecasts - especially
long-range forecasts, are
not always correct.
Yet,
people who will play the
lottery (with an
astronomically low
probability of winning)
will not prepare for a
hurricane with a
meteorologically high
 probability
of occurring.
According to Dr. William
Gray of the
Tropical Metrology
Project,
this is the 2008 tropical
storm forecast.
ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL
HURRICANE FORECAST FOR
2008
Issued 9 April
2008
Named Storms 15
Named Storm Days 80
Hurricanes 8
Hurricane Days 40
Intense Hurricanes
4
Intense Hurricane Days 9
 PROBABILITIES
FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR
(CATEGORY 3-4-5)
HURRICANE
LANDFALL ON EACH OF
THE FOLLOWING COASTAL
AREAS:
1) Entire U.S.
coastline - 69%
(average for last century
is 52%)
2) U.S. East Coast
Including Peninsula
Florida - 45%
(average for last century
is 31%)
3) Gulf Coast from
the Florida Panhandle
westward to Brownsville -
44% (average for last
century is 30%)
Go to the
Travel
Index or
Hurricane Season 2008
index
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